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The eBay DSR 4-Star Misconception

cliff
Written by Cliff View Comments
Last Updated March 27, 2009

By Cliff Aliperti
I couldn’t get through John’s recent video post about eBay’s DSR’s and International trade without having an old bug bite me.  This one has bothered me for some time now and I decided I needed to try to lay it out.  When I mentioned it to John he pointed me to a video he made back in December.  After talking it over we decided the issue was worth another look from my perspective.

The misconception referred to in this post’s title stems from this statement on the eBay Seller Performance Policy page:

To ensure a minimum performance standard from all sellers, eBay requires sellers to maintain at least a 4.3 average for each DSR (Item as described, Communication, Shipping time, and Shipping and handling charges).

And then a 4-star rating for each of those respective detailed ratings being labeled as thus on the Leave Feedback page:

  • Accurate
  • Satisfied
  • Quickly
  • Reasonable

All positive terms.

So the common thought I see expressed is if 4 stars on a single transaction are good, then how could an overall rating of 4.0 possibly be bad?

Isn’t the answer right there?  It’s two different things.

I don’t know why eBay hasn’t tried to lay this out in plain English, maybe it’d look like they were trying too hard?  I have seen the issue addressed, the question answered, but the MBA talking heads over there are pretty obviously incapable of breaking anything down in plain English for the layman.

Newbie eBay seller, there was a pre-DSR time in eBay’s history, a seemingly happier time where customer satisfaction was rated simply as positive, neutral, and negative.  I bought on such an eBay for 7 or 8 years myself with the personal criteria of using care if a seller’s positive feedback rating was under 99.0%, restraining myself from all but the absolutely gotta have it items if under 98.5%, and running away if the positives came in at under 98%.  I didn’t run all too often.

In other words, in this pre-DSR world of eBay this buyer thought you were a risk if you had 97.9% satisfaction or below.  Of course there are exceptions here, I mean if you had a 90% rating with 10 total feedbacks I’d probably give you a try, but I’m talking about experienced sellers with the feedback tally racked up a bit higher.

Look at this chart I pulled from SellerDome today:

sellerdome-2

I had to crop it some to make it legible in this space, but the labels on this, top column to bottom, are the Top 10, Top 100, Top 1,000, Top 10,000, and Top 100,000 eBay sellers, ranked according to their total feedback number.  I left the DSR’s visible for you as well.

As you can see, a 99% positive feedback rating is today’s standard.  Doesn’t that more or less render the statistic useless?  I’ve said it before, I have a 100% rating myself and I know I’m not perfect, so what does this number mean, if anything?

The DSR system is eBay’s way to better identify the good seller.  By it’s very name, and I think everyone will agree with this, it is more detailed.

So if a 4.0 brings connotations such as Accurate or Satisfied to the the table, then why in the hell does eBay’s Performance Policy call for a 4.3?

This is the same question John asked back in December.  Here’s what he had to say then:

Armed with some similar screenshots in addition to a baseball metaphor, it’s my turn to lay it out for you.

I’ll start by using a seller of my volume as the example.  I get about 1,000 DSR ratings per year:

1000seller thumb The eBay DSR 4 Star Misconception
What this assumes is that I’m starting with a 4.3 DSR rating after 1,000 DSR ratings.  What it shows is what it would take to fall to a 4.2.  I would have to get 1,000 consecutive 4 ratings, in other words at this volume, every single rating I get for the entire year would have to be a 4.  Much more likely to get in trouble for the 48 consecutive 1 rating’s, no?

This one’s even better:

1000seller48 thumb The eBay DSR 4 Star Misconception
It’s basically the same calculation starting me out from a 4.8.

One more for the smaller scale seller:

100seller thumb The eBay DSR 4 Star Misconception

This one assumes you’re wondering what it takes to fall below the 4.3 you’ve earned after 100 DSR ratings.  Basically the math is going to show that whatever your DSR number is, you’re going to have to receive that number of 4 ratings, again consecutively, in order to drop from a 4.3 to a 4.2.

This is bad?

The greatest perception problem here is a misconception formed around the terminology, in other words, satisfied and accurate are positive terms, so then how come an overall rating that is greater than satisfied can get you into trouble?

Because every single 4 DSR rating you get is good in eBay’s eyes (unless of course it’s your first one), they are well aware your 4 rating means your customer was satisfied, just not very satisfied (a 5.0).

What eBay is saying is if every single customer feels satisfied rather than very satisfied you are in fact only performing at 80% efficiency.

Go back to earlier in this article, back to when we were talking about only positives and negatives before DSR’s came on the scene.  What’s 80% get you there?  Not any sales, that’s for sure.

Truth be told, if I’m the buyer and you’re squeaking along at the 4.3 standard I’m already thinking twice because that’s really only an 86% efficiency rating, isn’t it?

Here’s my final point, and why no matter how much people talk and squawk about DSR’s it’s not going to matter.  We have to assume eBay has established their Seller Performance threshold based on statistics.  We have to assume their honesty in this regard, but to the cynical I’ll say this—throw out all of the DSR ratings of Diamond Powersellers and there’s still such a high volume of total feedback remaining that I’d be very surprised if their removal tilts the statistics whatsoever.

So assuming even just a modicum of honestly, if buyer’s ratings were to adjust to more accurately reflect seller’s opinion on this subject—and I’m going to operate under the belief that the seller thinking the single 4 rating equates to an overall 4 rating would view a 3.9 as a below acceptable overall rating—then the moment eBay’s statistics reflected this, they would slide the scale for Seller Performance anyway.

More plainly speaking, if buyers were suddenly reflecting a 4.0 as their overall point of satisfaction, eBay would slide the acceptable minimal performance from a 4.3 down to a 3.9.

It comes down to this:

The single 4.0 rating I give you on an individual sale is not the same as your overall 4.0 rating.  Single instances of imperfection are not defined in the same way as your overall level of performance.

Put another way, take a .300 hitter in baseball.  .300 is excellent, it’s an All-Star’s batting average.  If our .300 hitter goes 1-for-4 one night he’s not suddenly a .250 hitter.

Now in the late 60’s when baseball raised the pitcher’s mound a .300 hitter became quite rare.  The standard for excellence slid as batting averages across baseball dropped.  Suddenly a .280 hitter was among the best in the game.

While the baseball example was based upon a perception, that perception was backed up by the overall sample of available numbers.  eBay would take the same approach if there was a sudden and drastic downward trend in their DSR numbers.

Is the DSR system perfect?  No, of course not.  It weighs apples and oranges as all apples, in other words Domestic vs. International sales and with few exceptions weighs the highest volume sellers in the same manner as smaller sellers.

But I think one place where time is wasted is over wondering why a single 4 is good, but an overall 4 is bad.  I’m really of the mind that if you can’t see why this is, you just don’t want to see it.

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  1. Great article, very interesting.

    Take a look here http://www.tamebay.com/2009/03/dsr-dashboard-launches-on-ebaycouk.html and see what I said from 17 onwards (by all means read it all of course lol.

  2. Totally accurate blog, Cliff. So you know, I brought this exact same issue to Brian Burke last July at eBay live. Somebody posted my question on YouTube, and it’s received over 17,000 hits. If you want to hear the question, and Brian’s response (or lack thereof), here’s the link. That part starts at 1:46.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBX4vRjPHXM

    eBay continues to take the position that the overwhelming majority of customers leave 5′s, so it’s not the 4′s that hurt us, it’s the 1′s and 2′s. That’s just foolish and inaccurate. But they have themselves firmly dug in on this, and it’s not going to change.

  3. Great post Cliff. Here is a concrete example for you, my ex-neighbor, been on eBay 3 years. 100% positive feedback.
    Sales last year 34,
    GSV $160K+
    ASP $5K
    Range $19K to $1K
    High end jewelry

    All gems are GIA certified, shipped free of charge express with insurance and there is a 100% satisfaction or refund guarantee. Buy it take it to a gemologist if you don’t like it, return it with certification tag intact for full refund plus cost of return postage express & insured. Return it without certification tags you pay for it to be re-certified about $50 I believe and this is all stated in the listing.

    Last August they were restricted from listing for 30 days. They made one sale in July, buyer “thought the stone would be bigger”, and gave them a 3 in the item as described category. The stone was described by measurement and carat weight in the listing. Total time elapsed from payment to refund was 7 days.

  4. Hi Henrietta,

    Well, obviously that falls under the category of not fair!, though I’m also left wondering if there isn’t a little bit more to the story.

    I see this further down the Seller Performance Policy page on the .com site:
    This average is based on ratings from the past 30 days unless a seller has less than 10 DSRs for that period. In this case, eBay will evaluate DSRs over the past 12 months instead.

    This indicates to me that there was more than this single instance which cost the seller in this example the suspension. His performance obviously falls into the latter category of judgment, and so he’s evaluated over the past year.

    Something had to have gone wrong in a few of those other 33 transactions as well, didn’t it?

    Look, I may be totally wrong, and I’m willing to admit it if I am, but please point to the page which will make clear to me that any single transaction can get someone tossed off eBay.

    I’d always though a good and simple way for eBay to both keep the system fair and keep the dolphins out of the net, would be for them to just drop the top and bottom 10% of the ratings before calculating.

    Thanks,Cliff

  5. Hey Cliff, that actually makes sense…so it will NEVER happen, LMAO

    P.S. Awesome post, as always

    john

  6. Thanks, John. You know, I’m no mathematician, but I’m pretty sure that’s the way a good deal of statistics are handled in tests, especially when those stats are intended to actually get to the bottom of a problem and actually mean something.

    Thanks,Cliff

  7. Cliff,

    Ebay is not going under the assumption that everyone receives a 5 if they are satisfied. In fact, it is a long-standing tradition that a 4 out of 5 is very good and a 3 out of 5 is good. Think in terms of a movie critic that works on the 5-star system. Most people would assume a 3 star review is a pretty good movie and a 4 star review is very good. It is how people think and how most of the buyers are treating the DSR.

    I have just been banned (I am assuming for 12 months) because I have a 100% rating (88) but my DSR (only 16 people have given me) has fallen below in the 4.3 in 2 categories. One buyer gave me the rating and wanted to take it back as I was a little late with my shipping but included an extra $100 piece of software… they were very greatful for the extra touch, but could not remove the rating as EBAY would not allow them.

    While I can survive without EBAY… I’ll just sell on Craigslist and Amazon (EBAY will be losing fees from around $11K in sales), I have read many horror stories about how the DSR has ruined some smaller sellers, people who in a tough economy had come to rely on some smaller EBAY sales to get them through… these are not isolated incidents and I hope EBAY pays dearly for harming so many people.

  8. Hi Daniel,

    First off, let me say I’m sorry they’ve given you the boot. In response, all I can offer is that your experience is not my experience.

    As I’ve posted this and listened to the stories coming from it what I have definitely noticed is those who seem to fall into eBay’s net on this policy appear to be mostly lower volume sellers of higher priced goods–exactly the type of seller that I am not, and so possibly why my opinion typically skews the other way on this.

    If it is in fact this certain type of seller getting hammered by the policy over and over again I think it would be in eBay’s best interest to tinker with the numbers based on volume. I also think they’d be smart to set different standards across different categories as well.

    That sounds like a royal pain, but the fact that they are now micro-managing different fees and policies across categories suggests they could do the same with DSR’s.

    If they want to.

    Thanks, Cliff

  9. Hey You have written a nice post here it is very useful for me.

  10. #10
    DontScamMe says:

    I hate being lied to, and if an item was listed as New and was not disclosed in the auction description as smelling of smoke, I will leave negative feedback and an extremely low DSR. Any item that reeks of smoke is NOT new. I never bid on smokey items. Want to avoid negative feedback and terrible DSR's, Sellers? Then never, ever lie to a Buyer!

  11. #11
    bill01234 says:

    DSRs are completely bogus. Ebay pulls a seller’s DSRs out of thin air. DSRs DO NOT reflect the numbers buyers actually leave.

    Ebay arbitrarily decides each month how many 5%, 15%, and 20% discounts they want to hand out. Ebay then fudges each seller’s DSRs to go with the number of discounts handed out.

    So Ebay adjusts an actual 4.8 to a 4.7. Whatever Ebay needs to ensure only so many sellers get a discount that month.

  12. #12
    bill01234 says:

    DSRs are completely bogus. Ebay pulls a seller’s DSRs out of thin air. DSRs DO NOT reflect the numbers buyers actually leave.

    Ebay arbitrarily decides each month how many 5%, 15%, and 20% discounts they want to hand out. Ebay then fudges each seller’s DSRs to go with the number of discounts handed out.

    So Ebay adjusts an actual 4.8 to a 4.7. Whatever Ebay needs to ensure only so many sellers get a discount that month.

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